Indianapolis wins 4Q by over 10.5 points? Indianapolis wins by over 10.5 points

No—
Indianapolis wins by over 10.5 points—

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ResolvesNov 1, 2026yesterday

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Indianapolis wins by more than 10.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Indianapolis vs Jacksonville Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi settles on whether Indianapolis wins the 4th quarter by more than 10.5 points, excluding overtime, for the Nov. 1, 2026 game. Gemini uses the same 4th-quarter 10.5-point spread and the same underlying scoring basis, with different source/rules language and a later resolve time.
  • Kalshithis market

    Indianapolis wins 4Q by over 10.5 points? Indianapolis wins by over 10.5 points

    If Indianapolis wins by more than 10.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Indianapolis vs Jacksonville Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Indianapolis vs Jacksonville: 4th quarter spread: Indianapolis (-10.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if Indianapolis covers a -10.5 point spread against Jacksonville during the 4th quarter of the Pro Football game between Indianapolis and Jacksonville scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, meaning Indianapolis scores more than 10.5 points more than Jacksonville during the 4th quarter. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 4th quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary, and excludes overtime. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).

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As of Nov 2, 11:26 PM UTC