KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question

Will Las Vegas win the 1st Quarter?

No62%

Las Vegas38%

Price checked at Nov 1, 03:52 PM UTC

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24h volume$1.2K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$686

Spread1%

ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 5 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Las Vegas wins the 1st Quarter of the Las Vegas vs New York J Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the 1st Quarter. Only points scored during the 1st Quarter of play count towards this market. If both teams score the same amount of points during the quarter, all team strikes resolve to No and the Tie strike resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. Gemini resolves ties to No; Kalshi publishes separate team and Tie strikes, with the Las Vegas team strike corresponding to Yes if Las Vegas wins the quarter. The published criteria otherwise ask the same question and differ only in settlement mechanics/source wording.

Open
Las Vegas vs New York J: 1st quarter: Las Vegas wins
This market resolves to Yes if Las Vegas scores more points than New York J during the 1st quarter of the Pro Football game between Las Vegas and New York J scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. If the points scored during the 1st quarter are tied, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the 1st quarter of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Lead_317ec877-e753-4f96-8df5-93dcec4dfb7d.pdf).
this market
Will Las Vegas win the 1st Quarter?
If Las Vegas wins the 1st Quarter of the Las Vegas vs New York J Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the 1st Quarter. Only points scored during the 1st Quarter of play count towards this market. If both teams score the same amount of points during the quarter, all team strikes resolve to No and the Tie strike resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will New York J win the 1st Quarter?	Kalshi	60% No	$112	—	—	Open
Will neither team win the 1st Quarter? Tie	Kalshi	80% No	$12	—	—	Open

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As of Nov 1, 04:04 PM UTC