Will The Diplomat: Season 4 be #2 Global Netflix Show on Nov 2, 2026?

No98%
The Diplomat: Season 42%

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24h volume$686
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If The Diplomat: Season 4 is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show on the chart published on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Nov 3, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix. Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies an alphabetical tiebreak and an fallback if the chart does not publish by Nov. 6, 2026; Kalshi does not publish extra tie or no-chart fallback text. Both still resolve off the same Netflix Top 10 Global Show chart for the same week.
  • Will "The Diplomat: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

    Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

  • Kalshithis market

    Will The Diplomat: Season 4 be #2 Global Netflix Show on Nov 2, 2026?

    If The Diplomat: Season 4 is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show on the chart published on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Nov 3, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix. Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.

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As of Nov 1, 07:14 PM UTC