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Will Rick Jackson's Georgia Governor margin be larger than Joe Lombardo's Nevada Governor margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?

Rick Jackson57%
No43%

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ResolvesDec 8, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Rick Jackson's margin in the Georgia gubernatorial election minus Joe Lombardo's margin in the Nevada gubernatorial election is above 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their gubernatorial race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. Georgia's margin is from the Nov 3, 2026 general election; a Georgia runoff does NOT count. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places. A difference of exactly 0.00 resolves Lombardo Yes.

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As of Nov 1, 03:13 PM UTC