Jacobe Smith wins

Jacobe Smith99%
No1%

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24h volume$615K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread—
ResolvesNov 1, 20265 hours ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 28Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Jacobe Smith wins the Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi resolves draw/no contest to $0.50 and keeps the market open if the fight starts within 48 hours; Gemini resolves draw/no contest No and uses a 7-day postponement window. They use different stated sources/criteria for settlement, but the underlying event and outcome are the same.
  • Kalshithis market

    Jacobe Smith wins

    If Jacobe Smith wins the Randy Brown vs Jacobe Smith professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

  • Brown vs Smith: Jacobe Smith

    This market resolves to Yes if Jacobe Smith wins the Brown vs Smith professional MMA fight scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 9:20 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Randy Brown winsKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 1, 11:05 AM UTC