Will Miami win the 4th Quarter?

No99%
Miami1%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$2K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread—
ResolvesNov 2, 202621 hours ago

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 28Oct 29Oct 30Nov 1Nov 2Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Miami wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the New England vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime). Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If both teams score the same amount of points during the quarter, all team strikes resolve to No and the Tie strike resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi and Gemini use different settlement times and source language, but both resolve on Miami outscoring New England in the 4th quarter and treat a tied quarter as not-a-win for Miami. These published criteria differ in no material way.
  • Kalshithis market

    Will Miami win the 4th Quarter?

    If Miami wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the New England vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime). Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If both teams score the same amount of points during the quarter, all team strikes resolve to No and the Tie strike resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • New England vs Miami: 4th quarter: Miami wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Miami scores more points than New England during the 4th quarter of the Pro Football game between Miami and New England scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET. If the points scored during the 4th quarter are tied, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the 4th quarter of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Lead_317ec877-e753-4f96-8df5-93dcec4dfb7d.pdf).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will New England win the 4th Quarter?Kalshi99% New EnglandOpen
Will neither team win the 4th Quarter? TieKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Nov 2, 09:19 PM UTC