New England wins 1Q by over 3.5 points? New England wins by over 3.5 points

No97%
New England wins by over 3.5 points3%

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24h volume$20.5K
7d volume—
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Liquidity$0
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ResolvesNov 2, 202622 hours ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If New England wins by more than 3.5 points in the 1st Quarter of the New England vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 1st Quarter of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi settles on 1st-quarter points in the New England vs Miami game; Gemini settles on the same 1st-quarter scoring spread using official quarter-by-quarter scoring summaries and named source agencies. The published criteria differ only in settlement mechanics and timing, not in the underlying event or threshold.
  • Kalshithis market

    New England wins 1Q by over 3.5 points? New England wins by over 3.5 points

    If New England wins by more than 3.5 points in the 1st Quarter of the New England vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 1st Quarter of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • New England vs Miami: 1st quarter spread: New England (-3.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if New England covers a -3.5 point spread against Miami during the 1st quarter of the Pro Football game between New England and Miami scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET, meaning New England scores more than 3.5 points more than Miami during the 1st quarter. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 1st quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).

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As of Nov 2, 10:27 PM UTC