New England wins 4Q by over 2.5 points? New England wins by over 2.5 points

No99%
New England wins by over 2.5 points1%

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24h volume$9.1K
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Liquidity$0
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ResolvesNov 2, 202620 hours ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If New England wins by more than 2.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the New England vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Both venues resolve on 4th-quarter scoring only and exclude overtime. Gemini cites league/ESPN/Fox/broadcast sources and a review process for exceptional cases; Kalshi states the same scoring rule without materially different criteria.
  • New England vs Miami: 4th quarter spread: New England (-2.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if New England covers a -2.5 point spread against Miami during the 4th quarter of the Pro Football game between New England and Miami scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET, meaning New England scores more than 2.5 points more than Miami during the 4th quarter. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 4th quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary, and excludes overtime. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).

  • Kalshithis market

    New England wins 4Q by over 2.5 points? New England wins by over 2.5 points

    If New England wins by more than 2.5 points in the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the New England vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

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As of Nov 2, 08:05 PM UTC