PolymarketDelisted

Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2026?

No71%
Yes29%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

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24h volume$918
7d volume$7.1K
30d volume$7.1K
Liquidity$18.1K
Spread2%
ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 28, 01:36 AMOct 28, 10:44 PMOct 29, 07:52 PMOct 30, 05:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Gävle Goat, a traditional Christmas display erected annually in Gävle, Sweden, is set on fire by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Any fire on the Gävle Goat’s main structure will qualify, regardless of the extent of the damage or whether the goat remains standing; attempts that do not ignite the goat will not qualify. If the Gävle Goat is destroyed by other means, this will not qualify. The fire must be confirmed by an official Gävle Goat social media account, the City of Gävle’s official website, or a consensus of credible reporting.

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As of Nov 1, 04:36 PM UTC