Seattle vs Vancouver: regulation time spread: Vancouver (-2.5)

Vancouver (-2.5)100%
Seattle (+2.5)0%

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ResolvesNov 2, 20261 hour ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 28Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31Nov 2

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Vancouver Whitecaps FC beats Seattle Sounders FC by more than 2.5 goals in the Major League Soccer scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Vancouver Whitecaps FC's goals minus Seattle Sounders FC's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi settles at 2026-11-02T01:30Z and Gemini at 2026-11-02T20:30Z; Gemini also specifies a source hierarchy while Kalshi does not. Both otherwise resolve on the same regulation-time score differential for Vancouver (-2.5) in Vancouver vs Seattle.
  • Vancouver wins by more than 2.5 goals?

    If Vancouver wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Vancouver vs Seattle professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Geminithis market

    Seattle vs Vancouver: regulation time spread: Vancouver (-2.5)

    If Vancouver Whitecaps FC beats Seattle Sounders FC by more than 2.5 goals in the Major League Soccer scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Vancouver Whitecaps FC's goals minus Seattle Sounders FC's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Seattle vs Vancouver: regulation time spread: Seattle (-1.5)Gemini100% Vancouver (+1.5)Open
Seattle vs Vancouver: regulation time spread: Vancouver (-1.5)Gemini100% Vancouver (-1.5)Open
Seattle vs Vancouver: regulation time spread: Seattle (-2.5)Gemini100% Vancouver (+2.5)Open
Seattle vs Vancouver: regulation time spread: Vancouver (-3.5)Gemini100% Vancouver (-3.5)Open
Seattle vs Vancouver: regulation time spread: Vancouver (-4.5)Gemini100% Seattle (+4.5)Open

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As of Nov 2, 09:57 PM UTC