New England vs Miami: 1st quarter spread: New England (-2.5)

Miami (+2.5)100%
New England (-2.5)0%

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ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 11 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if New England covers a -2.5 point spread against Miami during the 1st quarter of the Pro Football game between New England and Miami scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET, meaning New England scores more than 2.5 points more than Miami during the 1st quarter. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 1st quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi and Gemini use different settlement language and source/rule details, but both resolve on whether New England outscores Miami by more than 2.5 points in the 1st quarter. The differing resolvesAt timestamps do not change the underlying question.
  • New England wins 1Q by over 2.5 points? New England wins by over 2.5 points

    If New England wins by more than 2.5 points in the 1st Quarter of the New England vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 1st Quarter of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Geminithis market

    New England vs Miami: 1st quarter spread: New England (-2.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if New England covers a -2.5 point spread against Miami during the 1st quarter of the Pro Football game between New England and Miami scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET, meaning New England scores more than 2.5 points more than Miami during the 1st quarter. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying counts only points scored by each team during the 1st quarter, as documented by the official quarter-by-quarter scoring summary. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the game is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Spread_c21fa9d6-31eb-42c4-9b16-30c420003993.pdf).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
New England vs Miami: 1st quarter spread: Miami (-3.5)Gemini100% New England (+3.5)Open
New England vs Miami: 1st quarter spread: New England (-7.5)Gemini100% Miami (+7.5)Open
New England vs Miami: 1st quarter spread: Miami (-6.5)Gemini100% New England (+6.5)Open
New England vs Miami: 1st quarter spread: Miami (-10.5)Gemini100% New England (+10.5)Open
New England vs Miami: 1st quarter spread: Miami (-2.5)Gemini100% New England (+2.5)Open
New England vs Miami: 1st quarter spread: New England (-3.5)Gemini100% Miami (+3.5)Open
New England vs Miami: 1st quarter spread: Miami (-7.5)Gemini100% New England (+7.5)Open
New England vs Miami: 1st quarter spread: New England (-1.5)Gemini100% Miami (+1.5)Open
New England vs Miami: 1st quarter spread: New England (-6.5)Gemini100% Miami (+6.5)Open
New England vs Miami: 1st quarter spread: New England (-10.5)Gemini100% Miami (+10.5)Open

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As of Nov 2, 10:41 PM UTC