Polymarket USOpen

2028 Presidential Election: Arizona Winner: Republican Party

No54%
Yes46%

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24h volume$436
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$339
Spread0%
ResolvesNov 22, 2028in 2 years

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 27Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee receives the most valid statewide votes of any candidate in Arizona in the 2028 United States Presidential Election that is expected to take place on November 7, 2028. Outcome sourced from relevant state electoral authorities. This market settles based on the candidate that wins the most statewide votes in the specified state in the 2028 US presidential election, regardless of the subsequent distribution of that states electoral college votes. For states using ranked-choice voting or another multi-round system, the vote count from the final round will be used. If multiple candidates tie for the most votes from Arizona, Yes contract holders for each tied candidate receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down to the nearest tick, per contract.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
2028 Presidential Election: Arizona Winner: Democratic PartyPolymarketUs52% NoOpen

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As of Nov 1, 11:22 AM UTC