Will DoorDash acquire Instacart in 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Instacart (Maplebear Inc.) will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with DoorDash by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by DoorDash or Instacart will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. A bid or offer announcement without the indication of a settled agreement will not qualify. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A "controlling interest" refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DoorDash or Instacart; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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As of Nov 1, 01:54 PM UTC