Seattle vs Vancouver: regulation time: Seattle wins

No79%
Yes22%

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Spread1%
ResolvesNov 2, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 28Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Seattle wins the Major League Soccer match between Seattle and Vancouver originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The published criteria are materially the same on the event and line; they differ only in settlement source and in Kalshi’s explicit tie/cancel/reschedule handling. Gemini also states a specific expiration date, but not a different question.
  • Geminithis market

    Seattle vs Vancouver: regulation time: Seattle wins

    If Seattle wins the Major League Soccer match between Seattle and Vancouver originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

    read Oct 31, 08:43 PM UTC

  • Seattle wins

    If Seattle wins the Vancouver vs Seattle professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Vancouver vs Seattle professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Seattle vs Vancouver: regulation time: Vancouver winsGemini57% YesOpen
regulation time: Will Seattle vs Vancouver end in a draw?Gemini79% NoOpen

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As of Nov 1, 03:59 PM UTC