PolymarketOpen

Will Conductor (Melty Labs) be acquired before 2027?

No64%
Yes36%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$82
Spread62%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. For this market, the listed company refers to Conductor, the AI coding agent app (https://www.conductor.build/). The entity that owns Conductor is currently Melty Labs Inc. Acquisitions of other companies with similar names (e.g., Conductor, the SEO software company, or C1, formerly ConductorOne) will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Comments24

Discussion on Predxy

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24 comments

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  • .kalvaxio · 2 months ago

    wrote "find sybils earn bounties" and got it, will cherish the 3 cents forever

  • .kalvaxio · 2 months ago

    wrote "find sybils earn bounties" and is the drop thats just a vibe, cant explain

  • .kalvaxio · 2 months ago

    i wrote "sybilhunt" and got a nice small real freebie

  • .kalvaxio · 2 months ago

    wrote "sybilhunt" and so it is real and im here for it

  • .ybryven · 2 months ago

    wrote "find sybils earn bounties" and is the drop that respects your attention span

  • .kalvaxio · 2 months ago

    i wrote "sybilhunt" and got a small sweet real drop

  • .kalvaxio · 2 months ago

    wrote "find sybils earn bounties" and came, dropped, smiled, left

  • henry88 · 4 months ago

    snapchat still alive?

  • PUERTOVALLERTA452 · 5 months ago

    someone propose yes

  • CaptainCoinflip · 5 months ago

    pizza hut acquired

  • Gorilla. · 7 months ago

    TikTok YES is already priced in after the Oracle-Silver Lake-MGX joint venture closed in January, so no edge there. The asymmetry is in Intel NO at current prices since Qualcomm backed off citing the 50 billion debt burden and Broadcom CEO publicly said no one even asked them. Meanwhile Nvidia went the partnership route with a 5 billion stock purchase instead of acquisition. All roads point to Intel staying independent through 2026.

  • SmartButLazy · 7 months ago

    Fuck you Ubisoft, you killed my fav game lineage 2!!! Fucj youuu

  • 0990kkk · 8 months ago

    yes

  • 0990kkk · 8 months ago

    .

  • Lambart · 8 months ago

    Snowflake gets taken private by Thoma Bravo or Blackstone

  • Venrik333 · 8 months ago

    no no

  • Bowed-Croissant · 9 months ago

    Cursor needs to be added to this market

  • FeeCollector · 9 months ago

    Abnormal limit order absorption at this level. The exit door is being locked.

  • FeeCollector · 9 months ago

    The sell-wall is fake. It's meant to keep the price down while a whale fills their bag.

  • FeeCollector · 9 months ago

    The flow is decoupled from the news. Someone is betting on a surprise.

As of Nov 3, 05:49 AM UTC