Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe. Only a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequent election will qualify. Caretaker or transitional governments, including the outgoing government continuing to serve in a caretaker capacity, will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sourcehttps://main.knesset.gov.il
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027? | Polymarket | 66% Yes | Open |
| Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? | Polymarket | 80% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Nov 1, 02:01 PM UTC