New England wins by more than 1.5 goals?

No83%
New England wins by more than 1.5 goals17%

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24h volume$483
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.6K
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 2, 2026in 17 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If New England wins by more than 1.5 goals in the New England vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ mainly in settlement mechanics: Gemini names source agencies and explicit fallback/review rules, while Kalshi provides a simpler criteria statement. They otherwise ask the same question and use the same match and line.
  • Kalshithis market

    New England wins by more than 1.5 goals?

    If New England wins by more than 1.5 goals in the New England vs Miami professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Miami vs New England: regulation time spread: New England (-1.5)

    If New England Revolution beats Inter Miami CF by more than 1.5 goals in the Major League Soccer scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (New England Revolution's goals minus Inter Miami CF's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Miami wins by more than 1.5 goals?Kalshi76% NoOpen
Miami wins by more than 2.5 goals?Kalshi88% NoOpen
New England wins by more than 2.5 goals?Kalshi94% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 1, 11:07 AM UTC