KalshiResolved

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 27, 2026? 5.14% or above

No99%

5.14% or above1%

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

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ResolvesOct 27, 20265 days ago

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.13% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 27, 2026, or one week following Oct 27, 2026.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 27, 2026? 4.88% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.88% or above	$9K	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 27, 2026? 4.96% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.96% or above	$4K	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 27, 2026? 5.04% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$3.9K	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 27, 2026? 5.06% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$3.9K	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 27, 2026? 5% or above	Kalshi	75% 5% or above	$3K	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 27, 2026? 5.02% or above	Kalshi	95% No	$2.6K	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 27, 2026? 4.94% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.94% or above	$2.3K	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 27, 2026? 4.92% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.92% or above	$2K	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 27, 2026? 4.9% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.9% or above	$1.8K	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Oct 27, 2026? 5.1% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$1.7K	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 27, 2026? 5.08% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$1.2K	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 27, 2026? 4.98% or above	Kalshi	96% 4.98% or above	$1.1K	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 27, 2026? 5.12% or above	Kalshi	99% No	$0	—	—	Open
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 27, 2026? 4.86% or above	Kalshi	99% 4.86% or above	$0	—	—	Open

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As of Nov 1, 12:50 PM UTC