UMBC Retrievers vs George Mason Patriots: UMBC Retrievers wins

George Mason Patriots95%
UMBC Retrievers5%

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24h volume$111
7d volume$192
30d volume$192
Liquidity$1.4K
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 2, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming NCAA Men's Basketball game, scheduled for November 2 at 4:00PM ET: If the UMBC Retrievers win, the market will resolve to "UMBC Retrievers". If the George Mason Patriots win, the market will resolve to "George Mason Patriots". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Sourcehttps://www.ncaa.com/

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ only in resolution mechanics: Kalshi and Polymarket specify different handling for postponement/cancellation, and Gemini uses a later expiration/settlement process. These differences do not change the underlying question of whether UMBC wins the specified game.
  • UMBC wins

    If UMBC wins the UMBC vs George Mason men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Polymarketthis market

    UMBC Retrievers vs George Mason Patriots: UMBC Retrievers wins

    In the upcoming NCAA Men's Basketball game, scheduled for November 2 at 4:00PM ET: If the UMBC Retrievers win, the market will resolve to "UMBC Retrievers". If the George Mason Patriots win, the market will resolve to "George Mason Patriots". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

  • UMBC vs George Mason: UMBC wins

    This market resolves to Yes if UMBC wins the men's college basketball game between UMBC and George Mason originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Win-Lose_Classdocx_893b1bbb-20f3-490c-81bb-650735bfb0f4.pdf)

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As of Nov 1, 03:03 PM UTC