PolymarketDelisted

Tien vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Under71%
Over30%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$2.1K
Spread4%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 27, 01:44 AMOct 27, 04:49 PMOct 28, 07:54 AMOct 28, 11:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Alex de Minaur in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ATP statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de MinaurPolymarket98% Alex de MinaurOpen
Learner Tien vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket94% Under 2.5Open
Tien vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Alex de Minaur (-1.5) vs Learner Tien (+1.5)Polymarket50% Learner TienOpen
Erste Bank Open: Completed Match: Learner Tien vs Alex de MinaurPolymarket54% YesOpen
Tien vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Tien vs. Minaur: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket98% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Alex de Minaur (-0.5) vs Learner Tien (+0.5)Polymarket50% Alex de MinaurOpen
Set 1 Winner: Learner Tien vs Alex de MinaurPolymarket51% Alex de MinaurOpen
Set 2 Winner: Learner Tien vs Alex de MinaurPolymarket100% Alex de MinaurOpen
Tien vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket79% OverOpen
Tien vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket55% OverOpen
Tien vs. Minaur: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Tien vs. Minaur: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Tien vs. Minaur: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen

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As of Nov 1, 03:08 PM UTC