PolymarketOpen

Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?

No94%
Yes7%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$5.9K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 16, 2026in 15 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Polymarket95% YesOpen
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?Polymarket70% YesOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 1, 11:03 AM UTC