KalshiOpen

Will Trump golf on Oct 31, 2026?

Oct 3195%

No5%

Price checked at Nov 1, 12:09 PM UTC

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24h volume$9.7K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread4%

ResolvesJan 27, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump golfs on Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved A day counts if Roll Call Factbase's presidential calendar feed (https://media-cdn.factba.se/rss/json/trump/calendar-full.json) shows its "golf" value as true. A day also counts if a White House pool report or a Getty Images, Reuters Connect or AP Photos image unambiguously shows Donald Trump playing golf that day. Markets may resolve as soon as a day counts. Otherwise they resolve at expiration, 10:00 AM ET two days after the day (after Sunday for Not this weekend).

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Trump not golf from Oct 30, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? Not this weekend (Oct 30-Nov 1)	Kalshi	89% No	$12.4K	—	—	Open
Will Trump golf on Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	82% No	$2.9K	—	—	Open
Will Trump golf on Oct 30, 2026?	Kalshi	95% No	$618	—	—	Open

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As of Nov 1, 12:31 PM UTC