Will DoorDash acquire Instacart?: Will DoorDash announce acquisition of Instacart (Maplebear) before Dec 1, 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If DoorDash announces an agreement to acquire Instacart (Maplebear) before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Instacart. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will DoorDash acquire Instacart?: Will DoorDash announce acquisition of Instacart (Maplebear) before Nov 2, 2026? | Kalshi | 98% Before Nov 2, 2026 | Open |
| Will DoorDash acquire Instacart?: Will DoorDash announce acquisition of Instacart (Maplebear) before Nov 16, 2026? | Kalshi | 99% Before Nov 16, 2026 | Open |
| Will DoorDash acquire Instacart?: Will DoorDash announce acquisition of Instacart (Maplebear) before Mar 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 99% Before Mar 1, 2027 | Open |
| Will DoorDash acquire Instacart?: Will DoorDash announce acquisition of Instacart (Maplebear) before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 99% Before Jan 1, 2027 | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Nov 1, 11:31 AM UTC