Will Delcy Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Venezuelan presidential election to take place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. Any appointment or selection of a president not made through a popular election does not qualify as a presidential election. If no Venezuelan presidential election takes place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If a Venezuelan presidential election takes place, but no winner is officially declared by 11:59 PM ET on the 365th calendar day following the date of the election, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the winner of the election as officially declared by the National Electoral Council of Venezuela, or a successor Venezuelan electoral authority.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | Polymarket | 54% Yes | Open |
| Will Nicolás Maduro win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Henrique Capriles win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Edmundo González win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Diosdado Cabello win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Will Marco Rubio win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Jorge Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | Polymarket | 92% No | Open |
| Will Manuel Rosales win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Donald Trump win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Nov 1, 02:15 PM UTC