Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by Anthropic in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing. The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered. Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered. Shares sold in any private placement concurrent with the IPO will not be considered. If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If Anthropic does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO? | Polymarket | 53% No | Open |
| Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO? | Polymarket | 78% No | Open |
| Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO? | Polymarket | 82% No | Open |
| Will Anthropic raise between $115B and $125B in its IPO? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will Anthropic raise between $65B and $75B in its IPO? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO? | Polymarket | 99% No | Open |
| Will Anthropic raise between $125B and $135B in its IPO? | Polymarket | 98% No | Open |
| Will Anthropic raise less than $65B in its IPO? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Nov 1, 02:44 PM UTC