Everton vs Newcastle: regulation time spread: Everton (-2.5)

Newcastle (+2.5)96%
Everton (-2.5)5%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Spread3%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 28Oct 29Oct 31Nov 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Everton beats Newcastle United by more than 2.5 goals in the English Premier League scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Everton's goals minus Newcastle United's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Premier League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They use different settlement sources and different resolve-at/expiration timestamps, but both settle on the same Everton -2.5 result for the same match and same time window. The published criteria differ in no material way.
  • Newcastle United FC vs Everton FC: spread: Everton FC (-2.5)

    In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for November 2 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Everton FC" if Everton FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Newcastle United FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

  • Geminithis market

    Everton vs Newcastle: regulation time spread: Everton (-2.5)

    If Everton beats Newcastle United by more than 2.5 goals in the English Premier League scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Everton's goals minus Newcastle United's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Premier League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

    read Oct 31, 05:49 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Everton vs Newcastle: regulation time spread: Everton (-1.5)Gemini86% Newcastle (+1.5)Open
Everton vs Newcastle: regulation time spread: Newcastle (-1.5)Gemini82% Everton (+1.5)Open
Everton vs Newcastle: regulation time spread: Newcastle (-2.5)Gemini94% Everton (+2.5)Open

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As of Nov 1, 11:58 AM UTC