Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC: Olympique de Marseille wins

No51%
Yes49%

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24h volume$2K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.1K
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 9 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Novig Ligue 1 moneyline 3 way win market on Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC, scheduled 2026-11-01 19:45 UTC. Sides: Yes / No. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Venues differ on settlement mechanics: some cite the official league result, some allow alternate sources or fair-value/no-contest handling, and some state different void/postponement rules. These do not change the fact being priced: Marseille to win the match.
  • Marseille vs Toulouse: Marseille wins

    This market refers to the Ligue 1 match between Marseille (MAR) and Toulouse (TOU), scheduled for 2026-11-01 19:45 UTC. - MAR: If Marseille wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - TOU: If Toulouse wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both MAR and TOU options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Ligue 1. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.ligue1.com/ Resolves Yes if Marseille wins the match. Resolves No otherwise, including draws where applicable.

    read Nov 1, 10:26 AM UTC

  • Marseille vs Toulouse: Marseille wins

    If Marseille wins the Marseille vs Toulouse professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Marseille vs Toulouse professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Novigthis market

    Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC: Olympique de Marseille wins

    Novig Ligue 1 moneyline 3 way win market on Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC, scheduled 2026-11-01 19:45 UTC. Sides: Yes / No. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Nov 1, 08:48 AM UTC

  • Marseille vs Toulouse: Marseille wins

    This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 1, 2026, 19:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

    0 holders · read Oct 31, 11:22 AM UTC

  • Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse: Olympique Marseille wins

    12. Olympique Marseille / Toulouse. Void condition: NO_CONTEST. SX Bet sport-specific betting rules apply.

    read Nov 1, 09:26 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC: total goals O/U 3.5Novig59% Under 3.5Open
Will Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC end in a draw?Novig76% NoOpen
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC: Toulouse FC winsNovig73% NoOpen
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC: total goals O/U 1.5Novig85% Over 1.5Open
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC: total goals O/U 4.5Novig77% Under 4.5Open
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC: total goals O/U 0.5Novig96% Over 0.5Open
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC: spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)Novig72% Toulouse +1.5Open
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC: spread: Olympique de Marseille (+1.5)Novig89% Marseille +1.5Open
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC: total goals O/U 5.5Novig89% Under 5.5Open
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC: spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)Novig87% Toulouse +2.5Open
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC: total goals O/U 2.5Novig65% Over 2.5Open
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC: Olympique de Marseille team total goals O/U 1.5Novig58% Over 1.5Open
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC: Toulouse FC team total goals O/U 1.5Novig60% Under 1.5Open
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC: 1st half total goals O/U 1.5Novig58% Under 1.5Open
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC: both teams to scoreNovig65% YesOpen
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC: total corners O/U 9.5Novig54% Under 9.5Open
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC: Toulouse FC team total corners O/U 3.5Novig52% Over 3.5Open
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC: Olympique de Marseille team total corners O/U 5.5Novig52% Under 5.5Open
Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC: 1st half total goals O/U 0.5Novig77% Over 0.5Open

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As of Nov 1, 11:01 AM UTC