Open source token share Nov 23–29 (OpenRouter)? Above 88%
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Open-weight models scores above 88% on OpenRouter Open / Closed weekly token-share chart week of Nov 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This event resolves using the percentage of tokens processed by open-weight models in OpenRouter’s Open / Closed chart for the week of Nov 23, 2026. The value is the updated percentage reported at 10:00 AM ET on the Monday following that week, rounded to one decimal place. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with OpenRouter. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open source token share Nov 23–29 (OpenRouter)? Above 86% | Kalshi | 78% No | Open |
| Open source token share Nov 23–29 (OpenRouter)? Above 92% | Kalshi | 95% No | Open |
| Open source token share Nov 23–29 (OpenRouter)? Above 80% | Kalshi | 90% No | Open |
| Open source token share Nov 23–29 (OpenRouter)? Above 82% | Kalshi | 90% No | Open |
| Open source token share Nov 23–29 (OpenRouter)? Above 84% | Kalshi | 71% Above 84% | Open |
| Open source token share Nov 23–29 (OpenRouter)? Above 74% | Kalshi | 79% Above 74% | Open |
| Open source token share Nov 23–29 (OpenRouter)? Above 76% | Kalshi | 84% No | Open |
| Open source token share Nov 23–29 (OpenRouter)? Above 78% | Kalshi | 77% Above 78% | Open |
| Open source token share Nov 23–29 (OpenRouter)? Above 60% | Kalshi | 65% Above 60% | Open |
| Open source token share Nov 23–29 (OpenRouter)? Above 70% | Kalshi | 64% Above 70% | Open |
| Open source token share Nov 23–29 (OpenRouter)? Above 72% | Kalshi | 94% No | Open |
| Open source token share Nov 23–29 (OpenRouter)? Above 90% | Kalshi | 88% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Nov 1, 12:38 PM UTC