Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: Estac Troyes wins

Yes99%
No1%

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ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 3 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 27Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 31, 2026, 19:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ only in settlement mechanics: Opinion names Ligue 1 as source, Kalshi gives a later resolve time and a different fallback for cancellation/rescheduling, and Limitless includes detailed post-abandonment rules. These do not change the underlying yes/no question of whether Troyes wins the match in regular time.
  • Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: Estac Troyes wins

    This market refers to the Ligue 1 match between Estac Troyes (TRO) and Le Mans (), scheduled for 2026-10-31 19:45 UTC. - TRO: If Estac Troyes wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - : If Le Mans wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both TRO and options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Ligue 1. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.ligue1.com/ Resolves Yes if Estac Troyes wins the match. Resolves No otherwise, including draws where applicable.

    read Oct 31, 10:09 PM UTC

  • Troyes vs Le Mans: Troyes wins

    If Troyes wins the Troyes vs Le Mans professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Troyes vs Le Mans professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Limitlessthis market

    Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: Estac Troyes wins

    This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 31, 2026, 19:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

    0 holders · read Oct 31, 10:38 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Estac Troyes vs Le Mans end in a draw?Limitless99% NoOpen
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: Le Mans winsLimitless99% NoOpen

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Best bid 41% · best ask 46%

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As of Nov 1, 04:24 PM UTC