KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question

UCLA wins

No64%

UCLA36%

Price checked at Nov 2, 10:37 PM UTC

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24h volume$7.7K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$34.6K

Spread1%

ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 7 hours

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If UCLA wins the Arizona vs UCLA men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

3 venues carry it

View the combined question

Comparable, not identical. The venues differ only in settlement mechanics: Kalshi uses a fair-price fallback if the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours, Polymarket uses 50-50 on cancellation, and Gemini may use its review process if the result cannot be determined. They otherwise ask the same UCLA-wins question for the same game.

this market
UCLA wins
If UCLA wins the Arizona vs UCLA men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Open
UCLA Bruins vs Arizona Wildcats: UCLA Bruins wins
In the upcoming NCAA Men's Basketball game, scheduled for November 2 at 10:00PM ET: If the UCLA Bruins win, the market will resolve to "UCLA Bruins". If the Arizona Wildcats win, the market will resolve to "Arizona Wildcats". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Open
UCLA vs Arizona: UCLA wins
This market resolves to Yes if UCLA wins the men's college basketball game between UCLA and Arizona originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Win-Lose_Classdocx_893b1bbb-20f3-490c-81bb-650735bfb0f4.pdf)