Arizona wins by over 5.5 points?

No86%
Arizona wins by over 5.5 points14%

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24h volume$355
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$244
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 8 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Arizona wins by more than 5.5 points in the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini and Kalshi use the same underlying game and spread line, but they publish different settlement times. Gemini also lists a source hierarchy for resolution; Kalshi does not, which is not a material difference.
  • Arizona vs Dallas: spread: Arizona (-5.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Arizona in the entire NFL game between Arizona and Dallas scheduled for 2026-11-01 at 12:00 p.m. CT is above 5.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Arizona's score minus Dallas's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

  • Kalshithis market

    Arizona wins by over 5.5 points?

    If Arizona wins by more than 5.5 points in the Arizona vs Dallas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Dallas wins by over 7.5 points?Kalshi53% NoOpen
Dallas wins by over 6.5 points?Kalshi55% Dallas wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
Dallas wins by over 5.5 points?Kalshi58% Dallas wins by over 5.5 pointsOpen
Dallas wins by over 2.5 points?Kalshi71% Dallas wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Arizona wins by over 6.5 points?Kalshi88% NoOpen
Dallas wins by over 3.5 points?Kalshi63% Dallas wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
Dallas wins by over 17.5 points?Kalshi79% NoOpen
Dallas wins by over 9.5 points?Kalshi57% NoOpen
Dallas wins by over 13.5 points?Kalshi67% NoOpen
Arizona wins by over 4.5 points?Kalshi84% NoOpen
Arizona wins by over 2.5 points?Kalshi78% NoOpen
Dallas wins by over 10.5 points?Kalshi62% NoOpen
Dallas wins by over 16.5 points?Kalshi76% NoOpen
Dallas wins by over 20.5 points?Kalshi83% NoOpen
Arizona wins by over 1.5 points?Kalshi78% NoOpen
Dallas wins by over 14.5 points?Kalshi74% NoOpen
Dallas wins by over 4.5 points?Kalshi59% Dallas wins by over 4.5 pointsOpen
Arizona wins by over 3.5 points?Kalshi83% NoOpen
Arizona wins by over 13.5 points?Kalshi95% NoOpen
Dallas wins by over 27.5 points?Kalshi93% NoOpen
Dallas wins by over 1.5 points?Kalshi71% Dallas wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
Arizona wins by over 14.5 points?Kalshi97% NoOpen
Arizona wins by over 10.5 points?Kalshi94% NoOpen
Dallas wins by over 23.5 points?Kalshi88% NoOpen
Arizona wins by over 7.5 points?Kalshi90% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 1, 01:07 PM UTC