Pittsburgh wins by over 3.5 points?

No51%
Pittsburgh wins by over 3.5 points49%

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24h volume$51.6K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$536.4K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 7 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 27Oct 29Oct 31Nov 1

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Pittsburgh wins by more than 3.5 points in the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi settles by whether Pittsburgh wins by more than 3.5 points in the Nov. 1, 2026 game; Gemini settles on the same score differential using listed sports sources and may use its review process if the game is unresolved. The published criteria differ only in settlement source/timing, not in the underlying question.
  • Kalshithis market

    Pittsburgh wins by over 3.5 points?

    If Pittsburgh wins by more than 3.5 points in the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Pittsburgh (-3.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Pittsburgh in the entire NFL game between Cleveland and Pittsburgh scheduled for 2026-11-01 at 12:00 p.m. CT is above 3.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Pittsburgh's score minus Cleveland's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Pittsburgh wins by over 2.5 points?Kalshi59% Pittsburgh wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Cleveland wins by over 3.5 points?Kalshi76% NoOpen
Cleveland wins by over 14.5 points?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Pittsburgh wins by over 4.5 points?Kalshi55% NoOpen
Pittsburgh wins by over 6.5 points?Kalshi60% NoOpen
Pittsburgh wins by over 7.5 points?Kalshi67% NoOpen
Cleveland wins by over 2.5 points?Kalshi70% NoOpen
Cleveland wins by over 6.5 points?Kalshi80% NoOpen
Pittsburgh wins by over 5.5 points?Kalshi56% NoOpen
Pittsburgh wins by over 9.5 points?Kalshi69% NoOpen
Pittsburgh wins by over 14.5 points?Kalshi82% NoOpen
Pittsburgh wins by over 13.5 points?Kalshi78% NoOpen
Pittsburgh wins by over 1.5 points?Kalshi61% Pittsburgh wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
Cleveland wins by over 1.5 points?Kalshi66% NoOpen
Cleveland wins by over 9.5 points?Kalshi88% NoOpen
Cleveland wins by over 5.5 points?Kalshi78% NoOpen
Pittsburgh wins by over 20.5 points?Kalshi91% NoOpen
Pittsburgh wins by over 10.5 points?Kalshi74% NoOpen
Pittsburgh wins by over 16.5 points?Kalshi85% NoOpen
Pittsburgh wins by over 17.5 points?Kalshi88% NoOpen
Cleveland wins by over 7.5 points?Kalshi85% NoOpen
Cleveland wins by over 4.5 points?Kalshi77% NoOpen
Cleveland wins by over 10.5 points?Kalshi89% NoOpen
Cleveland wins by over 13.5 points?Kalshi92% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 1, 02:10 PM UTC