Kansas City wins by over 4.5 points?

No64%
Kansas City wins by over 4.5 points36%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$111
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$4.9K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 2, 2026in 9 hours

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 27Oct 29Oct 31Nov 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Kansas City wins by more than 4.5 points in the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini and Kalshi use different settlement times and source wording, but both resolve on the same Kansas City vs. Denver game and the same -4.5 spread threshold. The published criteria differ in no material way.
  • Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Kansas City (-4.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Kansas City in the entire NFL game between Kansas City and Denver scheduled for 2026-11-01 at 3:25 p.m. CT is above 4.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Kansas City's score minus Denver's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

  • Kalshithis market

    Kansas City wins by over 4.5 points?

    If Kansas City wins by more than 4.5 points in the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Kansas City wins by over 1.5 points?Kalshi53% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 1.5 points?Kalshi53% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 7.5 points?Kalshi79% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 2.5 points?Kalshi57% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 3.5 points?Kalshi64% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 2.5 points?Kalshi54% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 7.5 points?Kalshi76% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 3.5 points?Kalshi62% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 6.5 points?Kalshi73% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 9.5 points?Kalshi79% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 5.5 points?Kalshi66% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 16.5 points?Kalshi89% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 9.5 points?Kalshi79% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 6.5 points?Kalshi70% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 4.5 points?Kalshi67% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 14.5 points?Kalshi89% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 13.5 points?Kalshi86% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 10.5 points?Kalshi84% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 16.5 points?Kalshi91% NoOpen
Denver wins by over 5.5 points?Kalshi68% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 13.5 points?Kalshi83% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 10.5 points?Kalshi82% NoOpen
Kansas City wins by over 14.5 points?Kalshi88% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Nov 1, 03:02 PM UTC