Man City vs RB Leipzig: regulation time: Manchester City wins

Yes62%
No39%

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Spread1%
ResolvesNov 6, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 27Oct 29Oct 31Nov 1

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Man City wins the UEFA Champions League match between Man City and RB Leipzig originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Champions League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ only in settlement mechanics: Gemini specifies source-agency hierarchy and extra handling for cancellations/forfeits/disqualification, while Kalshi adds a fair-price rule for cancellation or reschedule beyond 48 hours. The published criteria otherwise ask the same match-outcome question.
  • Geminithis market

    Man City vs RB Leipzig: regulation time: Manchester City wins

    If Man City wins the UEFA Champions League match between Man City and RB Leipzig originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Champions League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

    read Nov 1, 01:49 AM UTC

  • Manchester City wins

    If Manchester City wins the Leipzig vs Manchester City professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Leipzig vs Manchester City professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 30, 03:31 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Man City vs RB Leipzig: regulation time: RB Leipzig winsGemini83% NoOpen
regulation time: Will Man City vs RB Leipzig end in a draw?Gemini81% NoOpen

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As of Nov 1, 03:44 PM UTC