Real Madrid vs AEK Athens: regulation time: Real Madrid wins

Yes77%
No24%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesNov 6, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 27Oct 29Oct 31Nov 1

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Real Madrid wins the UEFA Champions League match between Real Madrid and AEK Athens originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Champions League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini and Kalshi use different resolution sources and slightly different settlement timing/cancellation handling, but both resolve the same regulation-time Real Madrid win outcome for the same scheduled match.
  • Geminithis market

    Real Madrid vs AEK Athens: regulation time: Real Madrid wins

    If Real Madrid wins the UEFA Champions League match between Real Madrid and AEK Athens originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (Champions League), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

    read Oct 31, 05:36 PM UTC

  • Real Madrid wins

    If Real Madrid wins the AEK Athens vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the AEK Athens vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 27, 10:08 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Real Madrid vs AEK Athens: regulation time: AEK Athens winsGemini91% NoOpen
regulation time: Will Real Madrid vs AEK Athens end in a draw?Gemini87% NoOpen

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As of Nov 1, 04:42 PM UTC