León vs Cruz Azul: regulation time: Club Leon wins

No80%
Yes21%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesNov 2, 2026in 18 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 27Oct 29Oct 30Nov 1

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if León wins the Liga MX match between León and Cruz Azul scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the Liga MX governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They use different settlement sources and different expiration/resolution mechanics, but the published criteria ask the same underlying question and resolve on the same match result after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
  • Leon wins

    If Leon wins the Cruz Azul vs Leon professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Cruz Azul vs Leon professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Geminithis market

    León vs Cruz Azul: regulation time: Club Leon wins

    This market resolves to Yes if León wins the Liga MX match between León and Cruz Azul scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the Liga MX governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

    read Oct 31, 06:33 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
León vs Cruz Azul: regulation time: Cruz Azul winsGemini56% YesOpen
regulation time: Will León vs Cruz Azul end in a draw?Gemini78% NoOpen

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As of Nov 1, 02:41 PM UTC