Philadelphia vs Cincinnati: regulation time: FC Cincinnati wins

Yes100%
No0%

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ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 6 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 27Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Cincinnati wins the Major League Soccer match between Cincinnati and Philadelphia originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini settles at 2026-11-01T18:00:00Z and cites league/ESPN/Fox/broadcast sources plus review rules for cancellation or forfeiture; Kalshi settles at 2026-10-31T21:00:00Z and uses its own rules for ties/cancellation/rescheduling. These criteria differ only in settlement mechanics, not in the underlying question.
  • Geminithis market

    Philadelphia vs Cincinnati: regulation time: FC Cincinnati wins

    If Cincinnati wins the Major League Soccer match between Cincinnati and Philadelphia originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

    read Oct 31, 03:36 PM UTC

  • Cincinnati vs Philadelphia: Cincinnati wins

    If Cincinnati wins the Cincinnati vs Philadelphia professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Cincinnati vs Philadelphia professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Philadelphia vs Cincinnati: regulation time: Philadelphia winsGemini100% NoOpen
regulation time: Will Philadelphia vs Cincinnati end in a draw?Gemini100% NoOpen

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As of Nov 1, 11:48 AM UTC