New England vs Miami: spread: Miami (-7.5)

New England (+7.5)91%
Miami (-7.5)9%

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Spread4%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 28Oct 29Oct 31Nov 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Miami in the entire NFL game between New England and Miami scheduled for 2026-11-01 at 3:25 p.m. CT is above 7.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Miami's score minus New England's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The published criteria differ only in settlement mechanics and sources of truth: Gemini lists a hierarchy of source agencies and a market review process, while Kalshi gives a shorter rule. The settlement times differ, but that does not change the question.
  • Geminithis market

    New England vs Miami: spread: Miami (-7.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Miami in the entire NFL game between New England and Miami scheduled for 2026-11-01 at 3:25 p.m. CT is above 7.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Miami's score minus New England's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

  • Miami wins by over 7.5 points?

    If Miami wins by more than 7.5 points in the New England vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
New England vs Miami: spread: New England (-3.5)Gemini62% New England (-3.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: New England (-5.5)Gemini58% New England (-5.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: New England (-6.5)Gemini54% New England (-6.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: New England (-9.5)Gemini58% Miami (+9.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: New England (-14.5)Gemini75% Miami (+14.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: New England (-7.5)Gemini54% Miami (+7.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: New England (-17.5)Gemini80% Miami (+17.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: Miami (-2.5)Gemini79% New England (+2.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: Miami (-4.5)Gemini86% New England (+4.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: Miami (-6.5)Gemini90% New England (+6.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: Miami (-5.5)Gemini87% New England (+5.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: New England (-10.5)Gemini63% Miami (+10.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: Miami (-10.5)Gemini94% New England (+10.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: New England (-16.5)Gemini76% Miami (+16.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: Miami (-13.5)Gemini95% New England (+13.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: New England (-23.5)Gemini90% Miami (+23.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: New England (-13.5)Gemini69% Miami (+13.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: New England (-20.5)Gemini85% Miami (+20.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: New England (-27.5)Gemini94% Miami (+27.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: New England (-2.5)Gemini70% New England (-2.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: New England (-1.5)Gemini72% New England (-1.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: Miami (-9.5)Gemini93% New England (+9.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: Miami (-1.5)Gemini77% New England (+1.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: New England (-4.5)Gemini60% New England (-4.5)Open
New England vs Miami: spread: Miami (-14.5)Gemini96% New England (+14.5)Open

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As of Nov 1, 12:25 PM UTC