Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Denver (-4.5)

Kansas City (+4.5)68%
Denver (-4.5)33%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 28Oct 29Oct 31Nov 1

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Denver in the entire NFL game between Kansas City and Denver scheduled for 2026-11-01 at 3:25 p.m. CT is above 4.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Denver's score minus Kansas City's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They use different settlement timings and source language, but both resolve on the same Kansas City vs Denver game with Denver -4.5. The published criteria differ in no material way.
  • Geminithis market

    Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Denver (-4.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Denver in the entire NFL game between Kansas City and Denver scheduled for 2026-11-01 at 3:25 p.m. CT is above 4.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Denver's score minus Kansas City's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

  • Denver wins by over 4.5 points?

    If Denver wins by more than 4.5 points in the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Denver (-10.5)Gemini84% Kansas City (+10.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Denver (-1.5)Gemini54% Kansas City (+1.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Denver (-14.5)Gemini90% Kansas City (+14.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Denver (-13.5)Gemini86% Kansas City (+13.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Kansas City (-7.5)Gemini76% Denver (+7.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Kansas City (-4.5)Gemini66% Denver (+4.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Denver (-16.5)Gemini92% Kansas City (+16.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Kansas City (-14.5)Gemini89% Denver (+14.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Kansas City (-9.5)Gemini79% Denver (+9.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Kansas City (-10.5)Gemini83% Denver (+10.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Kansas City (-1.5)Gemini53% Denver (+1.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Kansas City (-6.5)Gemini71% Denver (+6.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Kansas City (-3.5)Gemini63% Denver (+3.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Kansas City (-13.5)Gemini86% Denver (+13.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Kansas City (-2.5)Gemini54% Denver (+2.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Denver (-9.5)Gemini82% Kansas City (+9.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Denver (-6.5)Gemini73% Kansas City (+6.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Kansas City (-16.5)Gemini91% Denver (+16.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Denver (-7.5)Gemini79% Kansas City (+7.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Denver (-3.5)Gemini66% Kansas City (+3.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Denver (-5.5)Gemini70% Kansas City (+5.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Kansas City (-5.5)Gemini68% Denver (+5.5)Open
Kansas City vs Denver: spread: Denver (-2.5)Gemini57% Kansas City (+2.5)Open

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As of Nov 1, 11:01 AM UTC