Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Cleveland (-4.5)

Pittsburgh (+4.5)77%
Cleveland (-4.5)23%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread4%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 28Oct 29Oct 31Nov 1

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Cleveland in the entire NFL game between Cleveland and Pittsburgh scheduled for 2026-11-01 at 12:00 p.m. CT is above 4.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Cleveland's score minus Pittsburgh's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini cites league/ESPN/Fox/broadcast-partner sources and a later expiration time; Kalshi does not publish a separate source here. Gemini also includes a review process for contingencies, but the spread threshold and game are the same.
  • Cleveland wins by over 4.5 points?

    If Cleveland wins by more than 4.5 points in the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Geminithis market

    Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Cleveland (-4.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Cleveland in the entire NFL game between Cleveland and Pittsburgh scheduled for 2026-11-01 at 12:00 p.m. CT is above 4.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Cleveland's score minus Pittsburgh's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Pittsburgh (-1.5)Gemini61% Pittsburgh (-1.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Pittsburgh (-3.5)Gemini51% Cleveland (+3.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Pittsburgh (-2.5)Gemini59% Pittsburgh (-2.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Pittsburgh (-5.5)Gemini57% Cleveland (+5.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Pittsburgh (-4.5)Gemini55% Cleveland (+4.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Pittsburgh (-6.5)Gemini61% Cleveland (+6.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Cleveland (-7.5)Gemini85% Pittsburgh (+7.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Cleveland (-14.5)Gemini95% Pittsburgh (+14.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Pittsburgh (-13.5)Gemini79% Cleveland (+13.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Cleveland (-3.5)Gemini76% Pittsburgh (+3.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Pittsburgh (-9.5)Gemini71% Cleveland (+9.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Pittsburgh (-20.5)Gemini91% Cleveland (+20.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Cleveland (-10.5)Gemini90% Pittsburgh (+10.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Cleveland (-5.5)Gemini79% Pittsburgh (+5.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Cleveland (-1.5)Gemini67% Pittsburgh (+1.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Cleveland (-6.5)Gemini81% Pittsburgh (+6.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Pittsburgh (-14.5)Gemini82% Cleveland (+14.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Pittsburgh (-7.5)Gemini67% Cleveland (+7.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Pittsburgh (-16.5)Gemini86% Cleveland (+16.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Pittsburgh (-17.5)Gemini87% Cleveland (+17.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Cleveland (-13.5)Gemini93% Pittsburgh (+13.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5)Gemini74% Cleveland (+10.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Cleveland (-2.5)Gemini69% Pittsburgh (+2.5)Open
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: spread: Cleveland (-9.5)Gemini88% Pittsburgh (+9.5)Open

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As of Nov 1, 12:44 PM UTC