GeminiOpenvenue data is stalePart of a cross-venue question

Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Atlanta (-10.5)

Tampa Bay (+10.5)85%
Atlanta (-10.5)16%

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Spread4%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 26Oct 28Oct 29Oct 31Nov 1

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Atlanta in the entire NFL game between Atlanta and Tampa Bay scheduled for 2026-11-01 at 12:00 p.m. CT is above 10.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Atlanta's score minus Tampa Bay's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini settles using league/ESPN/Fox/official broadcast sources and has explicit fallback rules for cancellation/disqualification; Kalshi states the same game result with no additional published sourcing detail. The settlement timestamps differ, but that does not change the question.
  • Geminithis market

    Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Atlanta (-10.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Atlanta in the entire NFL game between Atlanta and Tampa Bay scheduled for 2026-11-01 at 12:00 p.m. CT is above 10.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Atlanta's score minus Tampa Bay's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

  • Atlanta wins by over 10.5 points?

    If Atlanta wins by more than 10.5 points in the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Tampa Bay (-7.5)Gemini74% Atlanta (+7.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Tampa Bay (-3.5)Gemini61% Atlanta (+3.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Atlanta (-6.5)Gemini75% Tampa Bay (+6.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Atlanta (-2.5)Gemini59% Tampa Bay (+2.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Atlanta (-14.5)Gemini91% Tampa Bay (+14.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Atlanta (-13.5)Gemini89% Tampa Bay (+13.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Tampa Bay (-16.5)Gemini89% Atlanta (+16.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Tampa Bay (-13.5)Gemini84% Atlanta (+13.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Tampa Bay (-14.5)Gemini86% Atlanta (+14.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Tampa Bay (-5.5)Gemini66% Atlanta (+5.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Atlanta (-16.5)Gemini93% Tampa Bay (+16.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Atlanta (-1.5)Gemini57% Tampa Bay (+1.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Atlanta (-3.5)Gemini67% Tampa Bay (+3.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Atlanta (-4.5)Gemini70% Tampa Bay (+4.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Atlanta (-5.5)Gemini72% Tampa Bay (+5.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Tampa Bay (-10.5)Gemini80% Atlanta (+10.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Tampa Bay (-9.5)Gemini77% Atlanta (+9.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Tampa Bay (-4.5)Gemini62% Atlanta (+4.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Tampa Bay (-6.5)Gemini68% Atlanta (+6.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Tampa Bay (-2.5)Gemini52% Atlanta (+2.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Tampa Bay (-1.5)Gemini52% Tampa Bay (-1.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Atlanta (-7.5)Gemini80% Tampa Bay (+7.5)Open
Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: spread: Atlanta (-9.5)Gemini83% Tampa Bay (+9.5)Open

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As of Nov 1, 03:28 PM UTC