New England vs Miami: 1st quarter: New England wins

No100%
Yes0%

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ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 10 hours

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 27Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if New England scores more points than Miami during the 1st quarter of the Pro Football game between New England and Miami scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET. If the points scored during the 1st quarter are tied, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the 1st quarter of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Lead_317ec877-e753-4f96-8df5-93dcec4dfb7d.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini resolves a tied 1st quarter as No; Kalshi lists a separate Tie strike as Yes and team strikes as No on a tie. They otherwise cover the same event, quarter, and outcome direction.
  • Geminithis market

    New England vs Miami: 1st quarter: New England wins

    This market resolves to Yes if New England scores more points than Miami during the 1st quarter of the Pro Football game between New England and Miami scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET. If the points scored during the 1st quarter are tied, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the 1st quarter of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Lead_317ec877-e753-4f96-8df5-93dcec4dfb7d.pdf).

  • Will New England win the 1st Quarter?

    If New England wins the 1st Quarter of the New England vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the 1st Quarter. Only points scored during the 1st Quarter of play count towards this market. If both teams score the same amount of points during the quarter, all team strikes resolve to No and the Tie strike resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
New England vs Miami: 1st quarter: Miami winsGemini100% NoOpen
1st quarter: Will New England vs Miami end in a draw?Gemini100% YesOpen

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As of Nov 2, 11:34 PM UTC