Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: 4th quarter: Pittsburgh wins

No100%
Yes0%

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ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 8 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Pittsburgh scores more points than Cleveland during the 4th quarter of the Pro Football game between Pittsburgh and Cleveland scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. If the points scored during the 4th quarter are tied, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the 4th quarter of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Lead_317ec877-e753-4f96-8df5-93dcec4dfb7d.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini says ties in the 4th quarter resolve No; Kalshi explicitly offers a separate tie strike, with the Pittsburgh strike resolving Yes only if Pittsburgh wins the quarter. The settlement times/sources differ, but the published criteria are materially the same.
  • Geminithis market

    Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: 4th quarter: Pittsburgh wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Pittsburgh scores more points than Cleveland during the 4th quarter of the Pro Football game between Pittsburgh and Cleveland scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. If the points scored during the 4th quarter are tied, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the 4th quarter of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Lead_317ec877-e753-4f96-8df5-93dcec4dfb7d.pdf).

  • Will Pittsburgh win the 4th Quarter?

    If Pittsburgh wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the Cleveland vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime). Only points scored during the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of play count towards this market. If both teams score the same amount of points during the quarter, all team strikes resolve to No and the Tie strike resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: 4th quarter: Cleveland winsGemini100% NoOpen
4th quarter: Will Cleveland vs Pittsburgh end in a draw?Gemini100% YesOpen

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As of Nov 2, 09:58 PM UTC