Baltimore vs Buffalo: 1st quarter: Buffalo wins

Yes100%
No0%

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ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 8 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 27Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31Nov 1

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Buffalo scores more points than Baltimore during the 1st quarter of the Pro Football game between Buffalo and Baltimore scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. If the points scored during the 1st quarter are tied, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the 1st quarter of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Lead_317ec877-e753-4f96-8df5-93dcec4dfb7d.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi and Gemini use different resolution sources/wording, but both resolve on the official 1st-quarter score of the same game. Gemini explicitly says ties resolve to No; Kalshi’s criteria mention a tie strike, but the published question is the same.
  • Will Buffalo win the 1st Quarter?

    If Buffalo wins the 1st Quarter of the Baltimore vs Buffalo Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team that scores the most points during the 1st Quarter. Only points scored during the 1st Quarter of play count towards this market. If both teams score the same amount of points during the quarter, all team strikes resolve to No and the Tie strike resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Geminithis market

    Baltimore vs Buffalo: 1st quarter: Buffalo wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Buffalo scores more points than Baltimore during the 1st quarter of the Pro Football game between Buffalo and Baltimore scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. If the points scored during the 1st quarter are tied, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the 1st quarter of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/TC_-_NFL_Period_Lead_317ec877-e753-4f96-8df5-93dcec4dfb7d.pdf).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Baltimore vs Buffalo: 1st quarter: Baltimore winsGemini100% NoOpen
1st quarter: Will Baltimore vs Buffalo end in a draw?Gemini100% NoOpen

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As of Nov 2, 10:14 PM UTC