PolymarketDelisted

Game Spread: Alex de Minaur (-3.5) vs Tomas Machac (+3.5)

Tomas Machac50%
Alex de Minaur50%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

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24h volume$121
7d volume$121
30d volume$121
Liquidity$17.7K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 2, 2026in 20 hours

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 25, 10:46 PMOct 26, 08:11 AMOct 26, 05:35 PMOct 27, 03:00 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Alex de Minaur" if Alex de Minaur wins 3.5 or more total games than Tomas Machac in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tomas Machac". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Alex de Minaur could no longer have finished 3.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Tomas Machac". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de MinaurPolymarket65% Alex de MinaurOpen
Set Handicap: Alex de Minaur (-1.5) vs Tomas Machac (+1.5)Polymarket91% Tomas MachacOpen
Machac vs. Minaur: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alex de MinaurPolymarket62% Alex de MinaurOpen
Machac vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket56% OverOpen
Machac vs. Minaur: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Machac vs. Minaur: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Machac vs. Minaur: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Tomas Machac vs Alex de MinaurPolymarket63% Alex de MinaurOpen
Machac vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket77% OverOpen
Machac vs. Minaur: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket58% UnderOpen
Machac vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket52% OverOpen
Machac vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket70% UnderOpen
Tomas Machac vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket61% Under 2.5Open
Erste Bank Open: Completed Match: Tomas Machac vs Alex de MinaurPolymarket100% YesOpen

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As of Nov 1, 06:18 PM UTC