Illinois wins by over 16.5 points

No97%
Illinois wins by over 16.5 points3%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$1.3K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread—
ResolvesOct 31, 202621 hours ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Illinois wins by more than 16.5 points in the Illinois vs Maryland college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ on settlement details only: Gemini and Kalshi use their own outcome-review / fair-price fallback language, while Polymarket specifies a 50-50 result if canceled and stays open if postponed. The published criteria otherwise describe the same spread and game.
  • Illinois vs Maryland: spread: Illinois (-16.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 31 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Illinois" if Illinois win the game by 17 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Maryland". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Kalshithis market

    Illinois wins by over 16.5 points

    If Illinois wins by more than 16.5 points in the Illinois vs Maryland college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Illinois vs Maryland: spread: Illinois (-16.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Illinois in the entire college football game between Illinois and Maryland scheduled for 2026-10-31 at 11:00 a.m. CT is above 16.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Illinois's score minus Maryland's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 30, 03:00 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Illinois wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% Illinois wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Illinois wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% Illinois wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
Maryland wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Maryland wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Maryland wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Maryland wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Maryland wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Maryland wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Maryland wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Maryland wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Maryland wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi96% NoOpen
Maryland wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Maryland wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Illinois wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen
Maryland wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen
Maryland wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Maryland wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 1, 03:51 PM UTC