Louisville wins by over 14.5 points

Louisville wins by over 14.5 points98%
No2%

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24h volume$32.2K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread—
ResolvesOct 31, 202618 hours ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Louisville wins by more than 14.5 points in the Stanford vs Louisville college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Venues differ on settlement mechanics: Polymarket uses NCAA as source and 50-50 on cancellation, Kalshi uses a fair-price fallback if not started within 48 hours, and Gemini/Novig rely on their own rulebooks or source hierarchy. These published criteria differ only in fine print and do not change the spread being priced.
  • Stanford vs Louisville: spread: Louisville (-14.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 31 at 3:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Stanford". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Kalshithis market

    Louisville wins by over 14.5 points

    If Louisville wins by more than 14.5 points in the Stanford vs Louisville college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Louisville vs Stanford: spread: Louisville (-14.5)

    Novig NCAAF spread market on Louisville vs Stanford, scheduled 2026-10-31 19:15 UTC. Sides: LOU -14.5 / STAN +14.5. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 31, 05:09 PM UTC

  • Stanford vs Louisville: spread: Louisville (-14.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Louisville in the entire college football game between Stanford and Louisville scheduled for 2026-10-31 at 2:15 p.m. CT is above 14.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Louisville's score minus Stanford's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 30, 10:00 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Louisville wins by over 23.5 pointsKalshi99% Louisville wins by over 23.5 pointsOpen
Louisville wins by over 21.5 pointsKalshi99% Louisville wins by over 21.5 pointsOpen
Louisville wins by over 20.5 pointsKalshi99% Louisville wins by over 20.5 pointsOpen
Louisville wins by over 24.5 pointsKalshi99% Louisville wins by over 24.5 pointsOpen
Louisville wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi98% Louisville wins by over 9.5 pointsOpen
Louisville wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% Louisville wins by over 13.5 pointsOpen
Louisville wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi98% Louisville wins by over 11.5 pointsOpen
Louisville wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% Louisville wins by over 10.5 pointsOpen
Louisville wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi99% Louisville wins by over 16.5 pointsOpen
Louisville wins by over 27.5 pointsKalshi99% Louisville wins by over 27.5 pointsOpen
Louisville wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% Louisville wins by over 7.5 pointsOpen
Louisville wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi99% Louisville wins by over 17.5 pointsOpen
Louisville wins by over 30.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Louisville wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% Louisville wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Louisville wins by over 33.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen
Louisville wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% Louisville wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
Stanford wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Louisville wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% Louisville wins by over 5.5 pointsOpen
Louisville wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi97% Louisville wins by over 4.5 pointsOpen
Louisville wins by over 35.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Louisville wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% Louisville wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
Louisville wins by over 41.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Louisville wins by over 38.5 pointsKalshi95% NoOpen
Louisville wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% Louisville wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 1, 03:51 PM UTC