Northwestern wins by over 11.5 points

No99%
Northwestern wins by over 11.5 points1%

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24h volume$7K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread—
ResolvesOct 31, 202615 hours ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Northwestern wins by more than 11.5 points in the Northwestern vs Oregon college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi and Gemini differ mainly in settlement timing and in their fallback handling for postponement/cancellation/disqualification, but both resolve on Northwestern's margin of victory in the same game at the same 11.5-point line. The published criteria otherwise ask the same question.
  • Kalshithis market

    Northwestern wins by over 11.5 points

    If Northwestern wins by more than 11.5 points in the Northwestern vs Oregon college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Northwestern vs Oregon: spread: Northwestern (-11.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Northwestern in the entire college football game between Northwestern and Oregon scheduled for 2026-10-31 at 2:30 p.m. CT is above 11.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Northwestern's score minus Oregon's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Oregon wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% Oregon wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
Oregon wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi99% Oregon wins by over 4.5 pointsOpen
Northwestern wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% Oregon wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Oregon wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% Oregon wins by over 7.5 pointsOpen
Northwestern wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen
Northwestern wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Northwestern wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Northwestern wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% Oregon wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
Oregon wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% Oregon wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
Oregon wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Northwestern wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% Oregon wins by over 5.5 pointsOpen
Northwestern wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Northwestern wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Northwestern wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Northwestern wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Northwestern wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Northwestern wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Oregon wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Nov 1, 01:12 PM UTC