Virginia wins by over 3.5 points

No99%
Virginia wins by over 3.5 points1%

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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$5.3K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread—
ResolvesOct 31, 202615 hours ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Virginia wins by more than 3.5 points in the Virginia vs Wake Forest college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ on source of truth and edge-case handling: Polymarket cites NCAA.com and resolves 50-50 if canceled, Kalshi uses its own rules with a 48-hour postponement window, and Gemini uses a multi-source hierarchy plus a review process for cancellations/disqualifications. These do not change the question being priced.
  • Virginia vs Wake Forest: spread: Virginia (-3.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 31 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Virginia" if Virginia win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wake Forest". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Kalshithis market

    Virginia wins by over 3.5 points

    If Virginia wins by more than 3.5 points in the Virginia vs Wake Forest college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Virginia vs Wake Forest: spread: Virginia (-3.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Virginia in the entire college football game between Virginia and Wake Forest scheduled for 2026-10-31 at 2:45 p.m. CT is above 3.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Virginia's score minus Wake Forest's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 31, 01:00 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Wake Forest wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% Wake Forest wins by over 13.5 pointsOpen
Wake Forest wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi99% Wake Forest wins by over 14.5 pointsOpen
Wake Forest wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi99% Wake Forest wins by over 11.5 pointsOpen
Wake Forest wins by over 24.5 pointsKalshi99% Wake Forest wins by over 24.5 pointsOpen
Wake Forest wins by over 20.5 pointsKalshi99% Wake Forest wins by over 20.5 pointsOpen
Wake Forest wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi99% Wake Forest wins by over 17.5 pointsOpen
Wake Forest wins by over 30.5 pointsKalshi99% Wake Forest wins by over 30.5 pointsOpen
Wake Forest wins by over 27.5 pointsKalshi99% Wake Forest wins by over 27.5 pointsOpen
Wake Forest wins by over 21.5 pointsKalshi99% Wake Forest wins by over 21.5 pointsOpen
Wake Forest wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi99% Wake Forest wins by over 16.5 pointsOpen
Wake Forest wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% Wake Forest wins by over 9.5 pointsOpen
Wake Forest wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% Wake Forest wins by over 10.5 pointsOpen
Wake Forest wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% Wake Forest wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
Wake Forest wins by over 23.5 pointsKalshi99% Wake Forest wins by over 23.5 pointsOpen
Wake Forest wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% Wake Forest wins by over 5.5 pointsOpen
Wake Forest wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi99% Wake Forest wins by over 4.5 pointsOpen
Wake Forest wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% Wake Forest wins by over 7.5 pointsOpen
Wake Forest wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% Wake Forest wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
Wake Forest wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% Wake Forest wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Virginia wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen
Virginia wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Wake Forest wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% Wake Forest wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
Virginia wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Virginia wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Virginia wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Nov 1, 01:18 PM UTC