Miami (FL) wins by over 4.5 points

No99%
Miami (FL) wins by over 4.5 points1%

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24h volume$125.9K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread—
ResolvesNov 1, 202610 hours ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Miami (FL) wins by more than 4.5 points in the Miami (FL) vs North Carolina college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues use different resolution sources and slightly different settlement clocks. Their cancellation/postponement rules also differ, but all resolve the same way on the same game result and 4.5-point line.
  • Miami vs North Carolina: spread: Miami (-4.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Miami (FL) in the entire college football game between Miami and North Carolina scheduled for 2026-10-31 at 6:30 p.m. CT is above 4.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Miami (FL)'s score minus North Carolina's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 31, 03:03 AM UTC

  • Miami (FL) vs North Carolina: spread: Miami (FL) (-4.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 31 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami (FL)" if Miami (FL) win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "North Carolina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Kalshithis market

    Miami (FL) wins by over 4.5 points

    If Miami (FL) wins by more than 4.5 points in the Miami (FL) vs North Carolina college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Miami (FL) wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% Miami (FL) wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 20.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% Miami (FL) wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
North Carolina wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
North Carolina wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
North Carolina wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
North Carolina wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 21.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 24.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 27.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 35.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
North Carolina wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi99% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 30.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen
Miami (FL) wins by over 23.5 pointsKalshi98% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 1, 12:36 PM UTC